Even with '96 white Burgs, I find it a hard job deciding whether the bottles I was finishing off were suffering from "prem-ox" or just ordinary "ox". Only the fact that percentage of "ox-ed" bottles was so high in an otherwise remarkably fresh tasting vintage made me conclude that in most cases something abnormal was at work.
With right bank grand cru+ red Bordeaux from "good" vintages, it would IMO be abnormal and something to worry about if a wine started showing signs of fatigue in or before the 10-15 years age range. We are getting there with châteaux like Pavie and Angelus from the late 90s/early 00s and I would like to know how they are showing. I agree that 2003 is a special case but I think it is disappointing, if true, that more normally warm years like 2009 are producing suspiciously evolved wines. Warm vintages of the past, such as 1929, 1945, 1947, 1949, 1959, 1961 and 1982 produced fine agers to the 20-30+ year range, although accidents due to faulty wine-making and lack of air conditioning in the chais were far more common than now.
Yes, one has to aim off for their commercial interest when reading both Dubourdieu and Rolland. However Dubourdieu is undertaking apparently serious research at the Oenology Faculty in Bordeaux (here is a sample
http://www.vignevin-sudouest.com/public ... ancais.pdf ) and his own words in the RVF article do not seem to me to overstate the case which he regards as not yet fully proven. I think that his is a timely warning which happens to chime in with my own prejudices

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